Smith, et al. v. John Doe I, et al.
November 13, 2002 (01-729)
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Case Summary
In 1990, Respondents were released from Alaska prisons after serving terms for sexual abuse. John Doe I had spent five years in prison for abusing his young daughter. John Doe II was released after serving six years for abusing a 14 year-old girl. In 1994, Alaska lawmakers enacted the Sex Offender Registration Act. This Act requires sex offenders to register with law enforcement authorities and provides for public disclosure of information in the sex offender registry. Pursuant t o the Act, the state was to post the registry for public viewing. Respondents filed suit claiming that the Act was unconstitutional. The district court granted summary judgment for the state. On appeal, the Ninth Circuit held that the Act was unconstit utional as applied to Respondents because, in its application to those crimes committed before its enactment, the Act violated the Ex Post Facto Clause. The opinion of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals is found at 259 F.3d 979 (2001).

To see the opinion of the lower court, click here.


PREDICTED OUTCOME ACTUAL
OUTCOME
Forecasting
Model
Expert
One
Expert
Two
Expert
Three
8-1 to Reverse 5-4 to Reverse 5-4 to Reverse 7-2 to Affirm 6-3 to Reverse
VOTING TO REVERSE
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Breyer
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Thomas
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Thomas
Rehnquist
Kennedy
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
VOTING TO AFFIRM
Stevens Stevens
Souter
Ginsburg
Breyer
Stevens
Souter
Ginsburg
Breyer
Stevens
O'Connor
Scalia
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Breyer
Stevens
Ginsburg
Breyer

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