Pharmaceutical Research & Manufacturers of America v. Walsh
January 22, 2003 (01-0188)
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Case Summary
In 2000, Maine passed a law establishing the "Maine Rx Program", aimed at lowering prescription drug prices for Maine residents. This program allows the state to use its control over the Medicaid program to obtain drug discounts from manufacturers. Rebates negotiated with drug manufacturers by the Maine Department of Health Services are used to fund a discount prescription drug program open to all Maine residents. Petitioners sued the state, and the district court held that the Maine law regulated out-of-state revenues in violation of the Dormant Commerce Clause, and that it conflicted with the federal Medicaid law and was therefore preempted under the Supremacy Clause. On appeal, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit reversed, holding that the state statute does not offend the Dormant Commerce Clause because it only regulates activities within the state and that it does not conflict with the federal Medicaid statute. The opinion of the First Circuit is found at 249 F. 3d 66.

To see the opinion of the lower court, click here.


PREDICTED OUTCOME ACTUAL
OUTCOME
Forecasting
Model
Expert
One
Expert
Two
Expert
Three
7-2 to Affirm 8-1 to Reverse 9-0 to Affirm 6-3 to Affirm 6-3 to Affirm
VOTING TO REVERSE
O'Connor
Breyer
Stevens
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Breyer
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Breyer
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Kennedy
VOTING TO AFFIRM
Rehnquist
Stevens
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Rehnquist Rehnquist
Stevens
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Breyer
Stevens
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Stevens
Scalia
Souter
Thomas
Breyer
Ginsburg

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