Conn. Dept. of Public Safety v. John Doe, et al.
November 13, 2002 (01-1231)
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Case Summary
Respondents brought suit challenging the constitutionality of Connecticut's sex offender registry law. The law requires people convicted of designated crimes to register with the state and mandates public disclosure of the information in printed form and on the state's website. Respondents claimed that the sex offender registry law violated their due process rights because they were not afforded individualized hearings on their current dangerousness. The district court agreed, granting an injunction prohibiting the state from disseminating registry information to the public except in limited circumstances. The Second Circuit Court of Appeals affirmed the judgment of the lower court and held that Respondents were entitled to a hearing in order to determine whether or not they were currently dangerous before being included in a publicly disseminated registry. The opinion of the Second Circuit is found at 271 F.3d 38 (2001).


PREDICTED OUTCOME ACTUAL
OUTCOME
Forecasting
Model
Expert
One
Expert
Two
Expert
Three
9-0 to Reverse 6-3 to Reverse 5-4 to Reverse 7-2 to Reverse 9-0 to Reverse
VOTING TO REVERSE
Rehnquist
Stevens
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Breyer
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Thomas
Breyer
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Thomas
Rehnquist
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Thomas
Ginsburg
Breyer
Rehnquist
Stevens
O'Connor
Scalia
Kennedy
Souter
Thomas
Ginsburg
Breyer
VOTING TO AFFIRM
Stevens
Souter
Ginsburg
Stevens
Souter
Ginsburg
Breyer
Stevens
Souter
 

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